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Clinical and test features predict non-survivors of anoxic-ischaemic coma

 

Clinical signs on day 3 (absence of pupil reflex or motor response to pain) predict patients will die or remain in persistent vegetative state.
Absence of somatosensory evoked potentials in first week after event predicts similarly bad outcome.
Level 2a evidence (systematic review of cohort studies)

 

Citation/s: Systematic review of early prediction of poor outcome in anoxic-ischaemic coma. Lancet 1998; 352: 1808 - 12.


Lead author's name and fax: EGJ Zandbergen, Department of Neurology, University of Amsterdam.

 

Three-part Clinical Question: In patients with anoxic / ischaemic coma, what clinical signs are useful in predicting survival or death?
 

Search Terms: 1. coma/ (1233), 2. hypoxia, brain/ or anoxia/ (6681), 3. brain ischaemia/ (7154), 4. 2 or 3 (13321), 5. 1 and 4 (69), 6. diagnosis filter (895861), 7. 5 and 6 (58).


Data Sources: : Medline, Embase, non-English sources, Reference lists of articles found.


Study Selection: SR of cohorts. This is not a SR on a treatment effect. It is a study of the usefulness of a diagnostic sign/s: so follow a group or groups of patients over time and see what happens.   Randomisation NOT appropriate.


Data Extraction: Patients with anoxic-ischaemic coma, or if mixed population separate data for patients with anoxic-ischaemic coma. Excluded patients with coma from other medical causes or trauma. study criteria: > 10 years old, consecutive unselected patients, unequivocal description, clinical or neurophysiological data related to outcome.   Used GCS, pupil reflex, corneal reflex, eye movements, epilepsy, SSEP from median N stimulation, EEG.   Outcome classified: poor (death or PVS), or good (any other outcome).

The studies were multiple independent reviews of individual reports. They were tested for heterogeneity.

 

The Evidence:

Diagnostic tests best summarised as likelihood ratios:   LRs > 10 greatly increase chance of outcome (in this case death or PVS)

GCS M = 1 on day 3                                       LR 16.8 (95% CI 3.4 – 84.1)

Absent pupillary reaction to light on day 3         LR 10.5 (95% CI 2.1 – 52.4)

Bilateral absence of SSEP in first week               LR 12.0 (95% CI 5.5 – 27.8)

 

Comments:
1. Predominantly cardiac arrest patients.
2. Clinical signs of no use in predicting non-survivors in first 2 days after event.
3. Important outcomes: death or persistent vegetative state.
4. Bed side testing on day 3 after event can reliably predict who will die or remain in PVS.
5. SSEP least susceptible to effects of drugs.
6. A SpPIn situation: tests of high Specificity if Positive rule the diagnosis In.   Specificity of above tests is 100%
7. No one with above signs /test results had a good outcome (any outcome other than death or PVS).
8. But note follow-up limited to 1 month – too early to diagnose PVS.

 

Appraised by: Malcolm Daniel, Department of Anaesthesia, Glasgow Royal Infirmary; Monday, December 10, 2001
Email: md23s@udcf.gla.ac.uk

 

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